ENERGY SYSTEMS-OPTIMIZATION MODELING SIMULATION AND ECONOMIC ASPECTS, 2024 (ESCI, Scopus)
The Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources (MENR) has presented a capacity increase plan for domestic and renewable energy resources, aiming to meet the increasing energy demand from domestic resources. An examination of the plan revealed that some resources, especially renewable resources, were prioritized. In this study, the feasibility of this prioritization was examined in scenarios obtained with different integrated MCDM methods, considering the current situation of Turkey. In the study, the priority ranking of energy resources was investigated using environmental, economic, technical, and energy safety criteria which are prominent in the literature. The weights assigned to these criteria were presented in seven scenarios. Energy resources were ranked for each scenario using the Gray Relational Analysis Method. Finally, these ranking results and the MENR's priority ranking for energy targets were compared using non-parametric statistical techniques. The findings indicated that economic and technological criteria are the primary criteria to be regarded in energy planning. In addition, reserve and initial investment costs are the most important sub-criteria to be considered. Furthermore, the results did not support the MENR's nuclear energy policy, yet supported its lignite, natural gas, and hydropower policies. It was determined that the targets set for wind were not achievable.